Posted on 05/05/2009 7:42:59 PM PDT by Kevmo
links:
https://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/3544.page
https://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/690/2279.page
ping for use later...
for your various CertifiGate ping lists
The metric that might best build a book on both sides of the trade might be "will Obama ever be required in a US court to submit evidence as to whether he is a natural born citizen within the meaning of the Constitution?"
That sounds smart. Thanks.
The event to watch for is the instigation of a criminal case or punative damages case which would bring about a discovery phase in the legal proceeding. THAT will get plenty of betting that it will happen soon, but the natural action will never happen while Obowma is in office because he could not last through the discovery of his forgeries and criminal behaviors.
Nah, too unlikely to happen. Wouldn’t a metric such as Before 2012, Obama will be subject to a Judge’s order requiring disclosure of a “vault” copy of his original birth certificate.
Yours is good as well. I think it might be slightly better because it says nothing about whether zer0bama would produce it.
An interesting scenario would be where the payout becomes so disparate that it works as a bounty like incentive for some enterprising attorneys to forum shop a judge that would sign such an order(even though it may be likely that he is overturned). It might happen at the State level difficult to get it done at the Federal level.
Before you do it you should 1. get x number of freepers to take a position. 2. Prepare a press release 3. Promote the hell out of it.
Or perhaps a criminal case that is accepted by the Supreme Court. Supreme Court justices are human, not totally impartial. If they feel the foundations of the Republic beginning to crumble, will they not act?
If there was that much interest in the contract, I’d be pleased as punch. I know that if we could have had the contracts written earlier, the interest was there during the campaign and there were some obvious milestones. But it’s difficult to tell if there’s any interest remaining in this issue.
If they feel the foundations of the Republic beginning to crumble, will they not act?
***There were multiple cases before the SCOTUS at the time of the election and they failed to act. The foundations of the Republic were crumbling and they chose to perceive it as hiccups from a nearby horse.
Roberts is complicit in the scam. Don’t expect his court to open its ears.
Ooooh, good one!
Could you write a better contract that would attract volume?
The only indicator I have that there’s interest is that the forum topic I introduced over at Intrade has attracted 3X to 4X as many hits as the next biggest topic. It is by far most discussed topic in Intrade’s history.
In the case of certifigate, the extent of that disagreement is minimal. Anyone who's sane knows there's nothing to this certifigate nonesense. Only a tiny lunatic fringe would assign any value at all to it. I seriously doubt there's enough of them willing to risk capital to generate volume. The price would stay just slightly above zero, just enough to allow transactions costs to keep the sane people from slapping it down to zero.
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