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To: An.American.Expatriate

Your initial chance of being correct does not change no matter how many doors he opened. It stays at essentially zero. I pick the other door because its now a certainty.


13 posted on 03/18/2009 7:20:59 AM PDT by Nateman (You know you are doing the right thing when liberals scream.)
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To: Nateman
Your initial chance of being correct does not change no matter how many doors he opened. It stays at essentially zero. I pick the other door because its now a certainty.

Can you explain that?

As I understand it, my initial chance of being correct 1 to n.

My chance of "still" being correct as doors open is 1 to n - doors opened.

What I am not undertstanding is your statment (and the contention of the author) that I have a HIGHER chance of being correct if I switch on the last "choice"

14 posted on 03/18/2009 7:26:31 AM PDT by An.American.Expatriate (Here's my strategy on the War against Terrorism: We win, they lose. - with apologies to R.R.)
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