Posted on 10/14/2008 8:34:25 AM PDT by St. Louis Conservative
Here are our latest House ratings. Our latest estimate is a Democratic gain of 25-30 seats.
Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party. For our race-by-race analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition of the Report.
(Excerpt) Read more at rothenbergpoliticalreport.blogspot.com ...
No this is lib wishful thinking..both parties are responsible and the American peopel know it (except the Senate) there will be very little change Legislatively!
I’m shocked that you posted this...actually I’ll be shocked if you have something positive to say in the next 3 weeks.
I’d expect that if McCain wins we’ll never see you here again.
The RNC needs to have a house-cleaning from the top down. There is no excuse for taking it in the rear for two consecutive elections. The trends were looking better a few weeks ago when McCain was back on the offensive, but it seems things sunk back down to the trends we saw a couple months ago.
Where is the RNC?
all one has to do is read FR and they’ll see that Republicans are a dis-jointed bunch with no common message. The Dems are in “lock-step”...organaized, funded and all on the same message...and they’re kicking our fannies.
I think FL-16 should now be moved to Republican leaning, thanks to Mahoney's tape from yesterday.
Today, I look at the Dem's ads on TV and I look at the GOP ads and Obama’s are slick (albeit full of BS) and designed to get votes. The GOP ads are rudderless and fail to drive home the points that should be made (e.g., how can you give 95% of the people a tax break but still have free health care and all the other stuff BO is promising?) Why don't the national ads try to break the tie with Bush? Why don't they use Palin in their ads, given her popularity? I think the GOP has blown it.
What are you going to post next?
“Chuck Todd leans toward McCain vote...”
“East St Louis, bastion of McCain support...”
Have you cast your straight ticket Dem early ballot yet?
The approval ratings for the dem majority congress have been in the single digits for the past two years and they gain seats? Yes, that makes perfect sense.
The grassroots are going to need to take over the RNC after this debacle. Hopefully, something can be salvaged in the next few weeks to stop the bleeding.
I don't know how this will end up, but the hard evidence doesn't bode well.
No, I’ll still be here.
Well I hope this isn’t true.
If it is true say hello to Reparations, Gay Marriage, and Abortion 24/7!
I’ll be voting straight ticket Republican, as I always have.
Exit question: Do you think it’s helpful to stick your head in the sand and assume that EVERY poll is wrong, EVERY analyst is wrong, and EVERY trend is wrong?
Follow-up exit question: Did you think this same way in 2006.
“...house cleaning.”
It amazes me that Newt Gingrich, who broke the full-nelson the Democratic Congress had on this country for forty years, is drummed out of leadership without the courtesy of a reach-around because he lost five seats in 1998...
Who drummed him out? Mark Foley enabler John Boehner who led us to disaster is 2006 and is allowed to hang around for an encore performance.
No excuse, there is no excuse for this.
G-d bless John McCain, but with this house leadership, sheesh...
The one that I hate is the RNC ad that points fingers at Reid and Dodd for the mortgage/financial meltdown, but never mentions their party affiliation. They call them liberal, but never mention Democrat.
For the 3rd time just today I get to say welcome to a FR poster.
I will remind everyone of the following fact:
All of the polls have an oversampling of Dems implying anywhere from 6-11% edge for Dems in voter ID. In order to believe we are losing, you must accept this premise. I do not accept the premise because I don’t believe Obama is gaining votes that were bush votes in 2004. Additionally, I don’t believe Obama will get 100% of the Kerry vote from 2004.
The Obama campaign expected to get 40,000-50,000 early voters to the polls last week in OH. They only ended up getting 5,000 approximately. The narrative of TREMENDOUS energy for Obama is a myth. Empircal data shows you its a myth. The obama nuts may make the most noise, but they aren’t the most people.
The downtrodden attitude in this and other forums is a sure sign that, as much as we rebel against DBM, we are falling victim to it. Don’t buy the BS. Go with what your common sense tells you.
Looking for Good news in these polls is kind of like being on trial and asking the prosecutor to help you out with your defense. It isn’t there and it isn’t going to be there because of the assumptions above.
2006 was the result of a ton of close races won by Dems running as conservatives. In addition, the evangelical vote stayed home due to Foley, Macaca, and Abramhoff. Presidential elections draw way higher turnout, and no lib since Jimmah Caatah has pulled over 50%.
But if you want to base your think on a false premise that is only supported by inflated voter registrations (many of which are proving to be the result of a quota program at ACORN) and the supposed energy of the YUTE vote; then you are going to have three more weeks of misery.
Obama will not draw greater than 46% of the popular vote nationally. period.
I now spray you with Troll-Be-Gone. Psssst!
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