What say you?
Such bogus polls are also playing into swing states percentages.
Of course, the pollsters created a new category for the post racial post partisan candidate.
A extra sampling of black people in addition to the already over weighted poll of dems.
Polls are political tools - just another form of deceit designed to herd political livestock. Moo-oo-oo-o-o!
For TWO WEEKS, KOS (The Lib Media Chatroom for CBSNBCABCCNNMSNBCAPUPIREUTERS) had been screaming, and calling/harrassing pollsters to increase the Bias toward Obama by adding to the number of Blacks, Youth, And Democrats polled, based on “New Registrations”.
I think between Operation Chaos, and ACORN FRAUD, they are setting themselves up for another “Stolen Election!!”
Polls showing Obama winning actually work in our favor, causing a lack of complacency and more of an urgency to get out and vote against the ONE.
They should undersample for blacks, considering many don’t vote, and many cannot vote.
Will backfire. Blacks will not go to the polls if they think O has already won.
All I know is that I’m usually surprised on election day.
This is all setting up like Harry Truman beating Thomas Dewey. In that day, the polls were all skewed for Dewey and the pollsters stopped polling in September-October 1948 and what happened - Truman won! In the last 30 days Truman went on the offensive through whistle stops on the presidential train.
"weighted to their correct share of the national population"It says they've oversampled black people and then interpolated the results down to the correct proportion to get a more accurate result. The reasoning is likely that a large proportion of black people will vote Obama and pollsters want an accurate estimate on the percentage to sell to news agencies. All polls to this to a certain extent - they changed their results based on those polls to try and even out the demographics and biases in the sample. One typical example is because comparatively young people (18-35) have home phone lines and pollsters can't poll cell phones, they have to extrapolate to get a more accurate prediction from those who do answer. They'll do the same thing based on registered Democrat supporters vs. Republican supporters and so on. The Bradley effect is potentially an issue, but it's impossible to say what, if any, impact it will have. This will be controversial here, but I think a greater potential issue than the Bradley effect will be what happened to the UK Conservative Party in 1992 - they got a narrow win after polls showed a landslide for the Labour Party and it has been suggested that people were embarrassed to admit to pollsters they were voting Conservative after 12 years of power when faced with an impending Labour landslide.
The pollsters ARE accounting for the bradley effect. What they are do is as “would your NEIGHBOR vote for a black man?” Then when they answer, THAT is accounting for the bradley effect.
Actually..Wilder won..but it was a lot closer than the polls showed..they had Wilder winning in a landslide..