So which states does this put in play, and which states will just be teases?
Give this one a week and we will see. Depends upon what the Rabbits say at the gogs. Especially in Miami Beach and around where Rush lives.
It puts New York into play. If the NYC Jewish vote goes McCain/Palin, that will enable the conservative rural vote to carry the state. If McCain/Palin get New York, it is Game Over for The Obamanation.
New York, New Jersey, Florida, Penn and Ohio all have significant Jewish populations.
New York | 1,618,320 | 19,254,630 | 8.4 |
New Jersey | 480,000 | 8,717,925 | 5.5 |
District of Columbia | 28,000 | 550,521 | 5.1 |
Massachusetts | 275,030 | 6,398,743 | 4.3 |
Maryland | 235,350 | 5,600,388 | 4.2 |
Florida | 653,435 | 17,789,864 | 3.7 |
California | 1,194,190 | 36,132,147 | 3.3 |
Connecticut | 111,830 | 3,510,297 | 3.2 |
Nevada | 69,600 | 2,414,807 | 2.9 |
Pennsylvania | 284,875 | 12,429,616 | 2.3 |
Illinois | 278,810 | 12,763,371 | 2.2 |
Arizona | 106,100 | 5,939,292 | 1.8 |
Colorado | 78,620 | 4,665,177 | 1.7 |
Rhode Island | 18,750 | 1,076,189 | 1.7 |
Delaware | 13,500 | 843,524 | 1.6 |
Georgia | 127,245 | 9,072,576 | 1.4 |
Virginia | 97,840 | 7,567,465 | 1.3 |
Ohio | 144,955 | 11,464,042 | 1.3 |
Missouri | 59,165 | 5,800,310 | 1 |
Minnesota | 46,685 | 5,132,799 | 0.9 |
Oregon | 31,850 | 3,641,056 | 0.9 |
Michigan | 87,665 | 10,120,860 | 0.9 |
Vermont | 5,510 | 623,050 | 0.9 |
New Hampshire | 9,970 | 1,309,940 | 0.8 |
Maine | 10,315 | 1,321,505 | 0.8 |
Washington | 43,135 | 6,287,759 | 0.7 |
Kansas | 18,225 | 2,744,687 | 0.7 |
New Mexico | 11,250 | 1,928,384 | 0.6 |
Texas | 130,970 | 22,859,968 | 0.6 |
Alaska | 3,425 | 663,661 | 0.5 |
Hawaii | 6,990 | 1,275,194 | 0.5 |
Wisconsin | 28,330 | 5,536,201 | 0.5 |
Louisiana | 16,190 | 4,523,628 | 0.4 |
Nebraska | 6,850 | 1,758,787 | 0.4 |
North Carolina | 26,345 | 8,683,242 | 0.3 |
Tennessee | 19,300 | 5,962,959 | 0.3 |
Kentucky | 11,450 | 4,173,405 | 0.3 |
South Carolina | 11,225 | 4,255,083 | 0.3 |
Indiana | 17,420 | 6,271,973 | 0.3 |
Utah | 4,400 | 2,469,585 | 0.2 |
Alabama | 9,000 | 4,557,808 | 0.2 |
Iowa | 6,140 | 2,966,334 | 0.2 |
North Dakota | 430 | 636,677 | 0.1 |
Montana | 850 | 935,670 | 0.1 |
Idaho | 1,100 | 1,429,096 | 0.1 |
Arkansas | 1,675 | 2,779,154 | 0.1 |
Oklahoma | 5,050 | 3,547,884 | 0.1 |
Wyoming | 430 | 509,294 | 0.1 |
West Virginia | 2,335 | 1,816,856 | 0.1 |
Mississippi | 1,500 | 2,921,088 | 0.1 |
South Dakota | 295 | 775,933 | (z) |
Totals may not be exact due to rounding.
*Exclusive of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands which reported before 2002 Jewish populations of 1,500 and 350, respectively.
(z) Figure is less than 0.1 and rounds to 0.
It puts New Jersey in play. More importantly, it helps solidify Florida, Ohio, Colorado, and helps in Pennsylvania. If McCain can take any 3 of these, he wins.
I don't see McCain carrying New York or California. There is a growing Jewish presence in Northern Virginia, but not enough to swing the election even if they defected to the GOP this time around. Even if he carried the heavily Jewish areas of NJ (Highland Park, Teaneck, Marlboro, Manalapan, Tenafly, etc.) he would still have to overcome the "urban vote" (dead and undead), to say nothing of the government employee vote (NJ has more state employees per capita than any other state).