I think McCain will pull Ohio, NM, Colorado and Nevada, plus PA.
I think there may be some other surprises. Look for states like MA, NJ, NY and CA to be closer than they should be.
OH and PA are guaranteed McCain if Fauxbama is the candidate, and I’d say Wisconsin as well... The election is over before it begins if Fauxbama is the candidate.
Here’s another possible game ender for our side. California is still talking about apportioning their vote by district. Should that happen, we are way up front on the edge.