Not very likely. He has nothing to lose with a prediction like that. If he picks 10K he will get clumped in with a bunch of other people picking 10K and nobody will notice. If he hits a home run with 8K, then people will think he knows something..
Pleases note where the DOW plunged to in 2002/2003. "Likely" is one of those words. Of course it doesn't seem "likely". But it is very possible and the precedent is very real. It just may be "likely" in light of the severe liquidity crisis during the current banking massacre. I would say, "not likely and not unlikely. Very possible."
