I’m telling you. The bulk of Conservative support has died off.
Just compare how a liberal McGovern did against a milquetoast Nixon in 1972....37%
Then look at how much more support both Gore and Kerry got....48.4% and 48.4% respectively
I was born in 1957 and nearly all older folks from my parents and older were social conservatives even if yeller dog/dixiecrats
Those Dixiecrats formed what became the solid South for the GOP starting late 60s.
Meanwhile, most of the rest of the country except Indiana and a handful of mountain states have veered left to far left.
Look at the stats on how the post Boomers vote.
I can’t see how you can ascertain that demographics favor a serious conservative. As for GOP primary voters...the proof is in the pudding. They eschewed Duncan, Tanc, Fred and maybe even Romney or Huckie and are going for Mercuric McCain. They had several reasonable conservatives across the board and rejected them.
I’m 50, most folks I know under 45 here in Nashville (not Berkeley) are social moderates and can either way.
In my demographic.....white protestant southern male with family...i’d wager 85% are GOP but we’re dying off now.
I live in what Bob Corker likes to call the most Republican county in TN
Our county was set to support FRed, Huck or Duncan