Huckabee’s at 3.6% for the nomination. For the Florida primary, he’s still embedded in the field with Ron Paul at 3.4%. If you think he’s going to take off, you could make some good money buying his contracts (if you’re right). I would gather that Intrade’s data is a reasonable reflection of his current chances.
2008 Republican Presidential Nominee
Contract Bid Ask Last Vol Chge
2008.GOP.NOM.MCCAIN
John McCain to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008 M Trade 49.4 50.2 49.3 203920 -1.6
2008.GOP.NOM.ROMNEY
Mitt Romney to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008 M Trade 28.0 28.8 28.0 139220 +2.5
2008.GOP.NOM.GIULIANI
Rudy Giuliani to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008 M Trade 15.8 16.5 15.8 167396 -0.5
2008.GOP.NOM.HUCKABEE
Mike Huckabee to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008 M Trade 3.6 3.7 3.6 155503 -0.5
2008.GOP.NOM.PAUL
Ron Paul to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008 M Trade 1.6 1.7 1.7 101957 +0.0
Florida Republican Primary. Jan 29th
Contract Bid Ask Last Vol Chge
REP.FLA.MCCAIN
John McCain to Win M Trade 42.0 47.0 44.5 2583 -5.6
REP.FLA.GIULIANI
Rudy Giuliani to Win M Trade 12.5 13.9 12.5 2934 -4.0
REP.FLA.ROMNEY
Mitt Romney to Win M Trade 40.0 45.4 45.0 2443 +15.0
REP.FLA.THOMPSON(F)
Fred Thompson to Win M Trade - 0.1 0.1 628 0
REP.FLA.GINGRICH
Newt Gingrich to Win M Trade - 0.1 0.1 0 0
REP.FLA.FIELD
Field (any other individual) to Win M Trade 2.0 3.5 3.4 1729 -0.1
I was just watching CBS profiling some of the candidates. It was a question/answer thing. Huckabee seems so sincere. I can see how many freepers enjoyed meeting him. I am simply NO GOOD on this sincerity thing. Never have been. I set credit policy for years, and you learned to judge people on their record, not by what you knew about their personal lives or gossip. That’s why I never get into candidates personal lives, religion, etc. and look at what they say, what they do and what they’ve done in relationship to this country and government.
It seems that’s what we’ve come down to, ‘gut feeling’. Some of you may be experts at that ( I don’t see how anyone is), but not me. I’m one of these fools who if you stood all of the candidates up in front of me and I knew nothing of them, I’d like ‘em all. Well, ‘cept Hillary. Once in a great while I have a visceral reaction to someone that has NEVER been wrong.