Carl Cameron on Fox News reported an hour ago that Giuliani is funding any frontrunner other than Romney in Iowa so that Romney doesn’t get a first win and get to tie together 3-6 early wins and begin a sea-change away from Rudy. Romney, the son of a former Michigan governor, is now leading in early primary Michigan.
Rudy recognizes this as a real danger.
I expect that NRTL supported Thompson as their current best choice, hoping that he would win, or that his eventual endorsement of another candidate would not be Rudy.
That way they get the best of both worlds.
In the meantime, other than Huckabee, Giuliani’s now probable running mate, there seems to be no movement or negative movement by other candidates.
Mitt will never be elected President of these United States. His nannyism and his slickness are the combination of Bill & Hillary.
It’s a wide open race, might as well back the most conservative man.
Here’s what I’ve been posting lately.
Here’s a recent poll showing Hunter at 4%.
http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/28889/republicans_2008_giuliani_28_thompson_19
Here’s an intrade link to the forum site discussing how Hunter might be gaining traction.
http://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/1797.page
Here’s one showing Fred at 6%, and discussing why.
http://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/1805.page
One thing prediction markets are better at — their only bias is whether someone can make money trading the futures contracts.
The Efficacy Of Prediction Markets
The Liberty Papers ^ | November 8, 2007 | Brad Warbiany
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1922961/posts
Posted on 11/08/2007 12:21:43 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum
Fred has lost ~30 points at Intrade over the last few weeks, looks like it’s stabilizing at ~6%.
Thompson Tanking in Futures Markets (Intrade, IEM)
Intrade; Iowa Electronic Markets ^ | October 31, 2008
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1919127/posts
The Dropout contract for Thompson has an ask price 2 points higher than last trade. There is no Dropout contract for Hunter.
http://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/contractSearch/
DROPOUT.DEC07.(F)THOMPSON
Fred Thompson to drop out of 2008 Presidential race on/before 31 Dec 2007 M 6.0 9.2 4.0 0 0
Who are these "25%" who can support a person like Rudy? What do they believe in? Why does serial adultery not offend them? How can they overlook it? How can they believe that Rudy is really up to serving as Commander in Chief when he dodged the draft?
I'm curious about those kind of things.
Alan Moretti