[Charles Henrickson]

Somebody can check this out, but it seems to me that the Year 6 election in a presidency usually goes to the opposite party. Check out Year 6 of the Reagan administration, 1986: After the elections that November, were not the House and Senate under Democrat control in 1987? And Year 6 of the Clinton administration, 1998: After the elections, wasn't the House (and maybe close in the Senate, where only a third are up for election) under Republican control in 1999? For that matter, 1974: Democrat control of Congress in 1975? Even go back to 1958/59: Democrat Congress, right? Usually, Year 6 is NOT a good year for a President's party.

So, historically speaking, the odds are stacked AGAINST the Republican congressional candidates in this Year 6. It really would be a "Surprise" if the Democrats DON'T win.

[weegee]

The Republicans won in 1994. Halfway through Bubba's first term (and a sign he was on his way to being a one term president until he shamed America by blaming conservatives and right wing talk radio for the OKC bombing).

[Purrcival]

"...Year 6 election in a presidency usually goes to the opposite party..."

That's what Ann Coulter has been saying, and it's the main reason why she's not expecting Republicans to hold the House and/or the Senate this year.