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To: Allegra; Dog; Marine_Uncle; Rokke; MikeinIraq; onyx
"I suspected Sadr and his thugs were behind this as they have been other similar but smaller attacks in Baghdad over the past few weeks. And Sadr is in bed with Iran and has been all along."

Sadr has a militia, but no great role in the new Iraqi government. Now he wants such a role.

But like the man with only a hammer, everything looks like a nail to Sadr. I.E. he only knows to use his militia to further his aims.

It's even possible (though much less likely) that Iran approves of this sort of thing.

I doubt that this is a very successful process for Sadr, though. If he had the votes for Jafari, then he wouldn't have needed this attack...and without killing the local imam in this attack, he's unlikely to gain any new support, either.

As for "civil war" or other such possibilities, Iraq's militias and Mullahs are generally tied to a particular mosque. Thus, we know where they live.

This is an entirely different scenario than what we dealt with when Al Qaeda was itself the bigger threat in Iraq. We didn't know where to find Zarqawi. Not so for Sadr.

So we have different dynamics going on now.

Of course, the communist news media will focus on the violence and the negatives...neglecting to note the different dynamics (probably wouldn't grasp such distinctions even if they cared, anyway).

But dealing with a Mullah and Militia tied to a Mosque (a 3M problem) is a very different thing from that of dealing with a foreign financed terror organization that has no visible headquarters/leadership.

And perhaps the mullahs/militias are acting up *because* Al Qaeda has withered so much in Iraq. Al Qaeda's time has mostly passed now in Iraq. The Mullahs are going to give it a go next, but they have different goals than Al Qaeda.

This is a less dangerous game now. It is different. Beware the newscasters who tell you more of the same.

It's not the same now. The dynamics have changed.

9 posted on 04/07/2006 1:12:37 PM PDT by Southack (Media Bias means that Castro won't be punished for Cuban war crimes against Black Angolans in Africa)
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To: Southack

The dynamics have changed. I was heartened to hear or read here, that Iraqi's are thinking of themselves as Iraqis first, and Shiite, Sunni or Kurd, second.


Thanks for the ping, Southack.


10 posted on 04/07/2006 1:21:19 PM PDT by onyx (It's easier to indict a ham sandwich or Tom DeLay than it is to indict a Democrat.)
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To: Southack
" This is a less dangerous game now. It is different. Beware the newscasters who tell you more of the same. It's not the same now. The dynamics have changed."
AGREE. And one can envision particular type SOF/SOCOM/ mixed with Iraqi forces or without, performing specific actions that would fit into this proposed 3M model. Frag orders could change on the fly, flexibility, as conditions rapidly change.
And I can see where the US could actually stay quite neutral and just let the Iraqi's do the fighting. Of course if whole neighborhoods such as Sadr City where involved, I an US airsupport being required.
Who knows we many soon be reading about T72's pumping rounds into both Sunni and Shiite mosques.
16 posted on 04/07/2006 1:57:07 PM PDT by Marine_Uncle (Honor must be earned)
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To: Southack; Allegra; Dog; Marine_Uncle; Rokke; MikeinIraq; onyx; jmc1969

Just want to thank you all for a mature, educational and positive thread. It reminded me of what FreeRepublic is all about.


32 posted on 04/07/2006 9:36:16 PM PDT by Rokke
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To: Southack
This is a less dangerous game now. It is different. Beware the newscasters who tell you more of the same.

Goodness, I don't get my information from newscasters. I have a much better source for my information.

33 posted on 04/07/2006 10:31:29 PM PDT by Allegra (No mosques were entered or damaged during this post.)
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