The white men of the country are usually about 65% Republican. The deal maker or breaker is the WHITE WOMAN VOTER. She is fluid ... can go either way. The women can make ... or break ...Jeanine Pirro in New York State. Problem: I think young women think Hillary is GOD.
It is going to take a hard, smart, and very costly effort to ensure (a) a really big turnout (b) the white women's vote and (IMHO that's the combo that put Pataki in, for better or worse) (c) a smack-down on the vote fraud that characterizes NYC votes in the rotten boroughs of the Bronx, Queens, and Brooklyn, as well as in, I am sorry to say, highly ethnocentric communities throughout the state, and the 'urban' areas of the other big towns, where African American churches use federal dollars to van their congregations to 8 or 9 different precincts, but not before having voted them absentee innumerable times. And remember, in NYC, Like Philly, Baltimore, Chicago, Detroit,King County, and St. Louis, the dead are merely absent democrats who vote early and often (actually they vote late, and exactly as needed.)
Easy to say. Very expensive to buy. In addition to the money, there's the problem of smarts. The Republicans could have done better for Lazio if they had used the Yellow Pages to select their advertising and organizational people. If even one of the usual cast of those Clymers is involved in the Pirro deal, she's a goner.
I hope The DOJ can get in here to some good purpose, as they did to smack down fraud in Missouri and Maryland.
Interesting case. I really think, in my cynical-veteran--of-many- a- Republican campaign, that the GOP just might care more about the damage Pirro can do to Hillary, and don't give a hoot whether she pulls out a victory or not.
My math appears to be consistent with yours.
P.S. I believe hillary got 70% of the Jewish vote in 2000. An increasing number of younger Jewish voters are voting Republican. Post-9/11, even some older Jewish voters have changed their thinking,. My 85-year-old relative, for example, who voted democrat all his life, voted for Bush in '04. I don't believe he will ever vote Democrat again. As for clinton vote fraud in black communities, see: |
COPYRIGHT MIA T 2005 |
I think Pirro et al are in this to win. If she loses yet damages Hillary and makes hilly raise and spend 40 mil then it's better than not having a credible candidate at all.