Posted on 10/31/2004 6:10:25 PM PST by hawaiian
Guys, imagine if you were a Kerry supporter. There wasn't ONE SINGLE NATIONAL POLL that showed him ahead today. NOT ONE.
In summary: 3 polls showed the race tied (though the ABC version of the Washington Post/ABC poll has Bush at 49, Kerry at 48), and Zogby's poll showed a 1 point gain + 2-point surge for Bush.
2 POLLS: Bush +1
1 POLL: Bush +2
2 POLLS: Bush +3 (including the CBS poll with Bush's approval rating having jumped 5 points
1 POLL: Bush +5
POLLS WITH KERRY LEADING: ZERO
ALSO OVER THE WEEKEND: 1 Poll with Bush +5, another with Bush +6
EVEN BETTER NEWS: Bush's job approval rating is at 49.7. Presidents tend to get 2-3 points more than their job approval rating, and TODAY'S NUMBERS HAVE BUSH AT HIS HIGHEST NUMBERS IN MONTHS.
Be happy --- things are going to turn out the way we want them. Furthermore, the state polls by Zogby/Gallup are an absolute embarrassment. They're all over the place (Gallup showing Bush up 8 on the same day that Kerry is down 8 IN THE SAME STATE). The only credible state polling is Mason-Dixon's, and those numbers are FANTASTIC -- just compare the favorable/unfavorable numbers between Bush/Kerry on those: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6369953/ (NOTE: they're still showing the typo with 41% "neutral on Kerry" and 14% negative on Kerry in the Ohio numbers).
The Fox Dynamics poll is also a joke, showing Bush losing among men. Also, don't forget, Zogby and Rasmussen weight their polls 39-35 (D-R), not taking into account that incumbents have tended to add 4% on average, on to their parties' totals, in reelection bids (this is historical fact!) Let's just do all we can do over the next 36 hours, and trust me, Kerry will be a goner on Tuesday night.
It's also known that weekend polls tend to have more democrat contacts than Republican.
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