No, he can't.
How many people on this forum are registered California voters?
How many conservatives are there in all of California's 15 million voters?
Arnold has 51% support statewide to Cruz Bustamante's 17% at last count. That leaves a maximum of 32% for the remaining 193 candidates to split between themselves. It is mathmatically impossible for McClintock to over-take Arnold, and highly improbable that he could even take second place even if Simon drops out.
Thanks for the positive spirit. I wish we could just poll FR and ask people who they want to win, instead of who they think they have to support. This campaign is just getting started! And besides, if you took a poll of us McClintock supporters, you'd find all kinds of Californians. I've argued with everyone on this addressee list except RR about something or another and I think McClintock is a great candidate.
For one thing, McClintock is respected as being confident in his convictions. He will stick to what he believes when others would waver in fear. And he knows our state. We really need to get simple here, that's been the problem all along! Complicated politics are only necessary if one has no faith in the American dream.
I think the machinery is underestimating how deep the desire for cutting budgets and getting back to the basics is in California. I think there's a traditional kind of Bear Flag Revolt patriotism afoot, as well. McClintock has the real goods there.
I've been an Arnold Schwarzenegger film fan since I can remember. (I think the cartoonish and simple "Conan philosophy" is oustanding!) I also like his dedication and drive. But I think Arnold could learn something about being a loyal Californian from Tom McClintock. We should all admit that we like Tom and see what the results are! Because I think most people on FR do. Wouldn't it be interesting to the voters of California to learn that about us?