Mega-Bozos vs. Ultra-Bozo
Posted on 10/18/2022 4:05:36 PM PDT by algore
It’s been a real “well, shit” few days for Democrats, for which one could either blame the New York Times or the underlying reality on which the New York Times reports.
On Monday, the Times’ Upshot section released a new poll in which Republicans led Democrats by just over three points when respondents were asked which party’s candidate they supported in their district—a gain of about four points for the GOP in the last month on the measure.
It was the latest such “generic ballot” question on which Republicans have made gains over that time, and the party has closed its deficit in FiveThirtyEight’s aggregate of the measure to less than a point. Because of their gerrymandering advantages, Republicans would likely take control of the House even if Democrats have a one-point lead in national vote totals.
Another problem for Democrats is that the forces behind these swings, according to experts such as myself, are factors that the party has no control over. In Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, Republicans are running ads accusing Barnes and Fetterman of being soft on crime, accusations which may be more effective among prejudicially inclined voters because Barnes is Black
Specifically, Mehmet Oz’s campaign has been hammering Fetterman for his record leading the state’s Board of Pardons, which he pushed to recommend clemency more frequently. In Wisconsin, Johnson has accused Barnes of wanting to “defund the police” and put criminals on the street
The Times poll also found that the share of voters citing the economy as their top concern is rising. This may be in part due to the fact that mortgage rates have gone up and the stock market has been beaten down by the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes, which investors are increasingly convinced will lead to a recession
(Excerpt) Read more at slate.com ...
Let’s hear it for all the Mega Bozos!!! Hip,HipHooray!
I think the GOP is poised for a surprise on the upside. I think that McConnell and McCarthy will fail as leaders though. It’s up to the people to hold their feet to the fire and in this case I’d like to see a push by the people to push McConnell out. The problem I think is that the Kentucky gov is a Dem and would appoint a Dem if McConnell quits.
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