Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
I always thought your screen name meant you were a radical for conservatism. Boy, was I wrong.
He also won because his pro-life stance helped attract conservative Dems who disagreed with the pro-abort policies of their own party.
After all, that is why they are not called Ford Dems. Or Dole Dems.
But Reagan Dems.
And Santorum got his clock cleaned because PA Dems finally got smart enough to run a pro-life Dem against him.
It is a sin to support abortion, to divorce and remarry, to support and encourage sexual deviance. Adultery is also a sin. Glad to be of service.
That has been well-documented on other threads by other posters.
Oooh, Howlin . . . Three snaps way up!
You're clueless about what the actual underpinnings of American liberty are.
And the NEVER have been!
This election is not going to be about social issues.
Awww, you thought that up all by yourself.
[headpat]
That wasn't a college town! That was small Texas Hill Country town.
You don't have a clue to the college town I live in or the University. Frankly, I resent that you would think that the Red States would be so prudish that it would keep them from voting for Rudy.
It is a sin to malign someone.
The definition of liberal presented by some, would seem to encompass about 40% of Freepers. as a canary in the mine shaft. A bit more than 40% of Freepers are not opposed to a Rudy nomination per se, even if some of that cohort might prefer another candidate. That was a JimRob poll. Connect the dots.
You're most welcome, I assure you!
For the life of me, I cannot figure out what some of these posters are afraid of.
Frankly, I think you're in denial if you don't think images of Rudy in drag will re-enforce the notion in much of Red America that Rudy is pro-abort and pro-gay-rights and does not share a lot of their core values that help drive them to the polls.
That's because your premise that Rudy is a liberal is false.
Throughout the Rudy threads, I listed plenty of Rudy conservative accomplishments that were met with collective cricket chirping.
The primaries will be. Take it to the bank.
Yes, of course, silly me. Sorry to have asked.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.