Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
Your point?
I am behind! :) Good Night!
Where is that guideline? Since you've quoted it twice, I'd like to see it.
I'm sure a lot of people would.
Sure, why not? :0)
I hate to break this to you, but the Dems will have no qualms about, should we say, spamming images of Rudy in a dress into media buys in red socon states.
And into YouTube quite often as well.
I have no idea what Rudy was thinking when he did that, but it was really stupid of him to do it if he ever had ambitions for office outside of NYC.
: )
Yes, good night to all the desperate housewives out there. Until next time.
I'll go for anyone except McCain. I'll sit out before I'll vote for him, and I'll vote in the primaries for whoever has the best chance of making sure he's not the nominee. Personally, I think Rudy has the best chance of beating Hillary. He will take New York and New Jersey, and I don't see the south going for Hillary.
Please, a ruling, AM, since the subject has been raised.
I have always understood that freepmails have to follow basic forum guidelines regarding profanity, implied profanity and/or personal attacks.
I'm surprised that a ruling should be needed here.
Only the Anderson Cooper types go running to the mods unless it's an extreme violation.
I have turned over freep mail before that came after me but I never went back at the person. If I am going to go after someone for coming after me it is going to be on the open forum.
Why would anyone post to someone they are mad at in Freep Mail? Makes no sense. If I tell someone not to ping me, it is done on the open forum not in freep mail.
Too many hitting abuse buttons if you ask me!
I'd be in deep doodoo if it were the case.
Exactly! Pretty thin skinned -- obviously were not part of the 2000 flame wars or the Recall flame wars!
Onyx, c'mon.
When is the last time the Dems worried about intellectual consistency? If they did, they wouldn't be liberals.
What were the flame wars? That was before I joined?
It'll be popcorn time. I think it's a huge nothing. Time will tell.
Same time -- same place for more fun!
Good Night -- offer is still open to become an honorary memer of the Desperate Housewives! :)
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.