He’s beating Moulton by a country mile in the polls.
Here’s what I found:
Markey led the latest Emerson College poll by 31 points, 60 percent to 33 percent. It surveyed 550 likely voters from August 28 to 29, 2026 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.
It marks a surge in Markey’s support compared to May, when he led an Emerson poll by only 5 points, 37 percent to 32 percent, suggesting previously undecided voters have backed the incumbent. Only 7 percent of voters were undecided in the new poll, down from 29 percent in May.
A poll from the University of Massachusetts Amherst similarly showed Markey leading Moulton. It showed Markey with support from 60 percent of respondents compared to Moulton’s 32 percent. It surveyed 445 self-identified Democratic primary voters from August 5 to 12, 2026, and had a margin of error of plus or minus 5.8 percentage points among Democratic voters.
I think MA is a semi-open primary - and there’s only one R candidate. Would love to see the seat be at least competitive, but let’s be real. It won’t be.
If I were a conservative in Massachusetts? I’d take a blue ballot and vote for Moulton. Low bar, but he’s miles better than Markey.