Invest for grand kids.
Bingo! That’s what hubby and I are doing. We will buy some SpaceX stock but not right away. Three to six months down the road might be the best time to pick up a few shares.
Of course, it might also start sky-rocketing today and never drop back down to its original IPO pricing. If that happens, we will just kick ourselves in the butt and get in when we can. The grandkids will eventually benefit from it.
đź‘Ť What you said.
Those underwriting with entry subscription pricing day of IPO will cash in that day
It’s likely to skyrocket before settling back down
I had that privilege once on a few tech boom ipos
It’s like printing your own money
You have to determine when to bail that day
I saw some quad in an hour or two from open
Usually the market makers accumulate by 10 EST
Then the individuals rush in after being somewhat stymied by the major block buying
Usually it peels back by 2-3pm to around half of peak
But on occasion it closes at peak
There are three big challenges to operating ventures in space. The first is getting things up there , the second is getting things done up there and the third is getting the finished product back down here to earth.
SpaceX has achieved one of the Holy Grails of space flight by it's ability to get things up there cost effectively and there are a growing number of defense related applications and emerging commercial applications that would love to get up there.
Space based AI could work out very well but space is a very difficult and aggressive environment to work in for both hardware and people. Especially for people.
However, at some point there has to be earnings growth to levels commensurate with that valuation and it's not obvious that they can rapidly scale the company to a level that supports that current valuation, much less provide for the kind of explosive growth that gives investors a huge return on investment - especially in the near term
SpaceX has put together a workable plan and they will have tons of money to work with. Doing AI in space is kind of the ultimate cloud based computing model and it remains to be seen if it is practical with the very environmentally sensitive commercial grade hardware. I was involved with NASA work to use less expensive and robust commercial grade electronic components for space applications as and there are performance and reliability problems that are not so easy to overcome.
SpaceX has launched about 12,000 Starlink satellites with about 10,000 of them operating so they know their business when it comes to operating data linked systems in space
SpaceX feels that doing AI in space may be cost effective and they may be right but will SpaceX even be allowed to launch the million plus satellites that they project for their system. That's a lot of hardware in space. And if they are allowed, can they simultaneously scale launch capacity, microprocessor fabrication and solar module production capacity and a bunch of other necessary technologies to make it happen.
It's a very ambitious and speculative plan in market segments where there are a lot of ambitious and speculative competing ventures.
The SpaceX IPO is one of the most hyped IPOs in history and there is a decent chance that there may be some buying opportunities in the future as the IPO plan hype meets reality from both a technical and earnings expectations perspective.
One thing for certain, there is a stunning amount of optimistic revenue growth expectation baked into the offer price that will have to be met simply to support the existing IPO price at current levels based on economic fundamentals, much less support huge stock price increases.
But then again, I passed on bitcoin at 15000 so what do I know.
I may smack myself for passing, but I’m told old to risk capital if this goes south.
I’m not planning on working longer to make it back.
You might want to wait a bit before buying SPCX stock. There’s a lockup period before insiders and pre-IPO investors can start selling their shares, but once those periods expire a lot of stock can become available.
It looks like SpaceX will allow employees to begin selling their shares just weeks after the IPO. Big institutional holders will have to wait until 366 days pass, but then huge blocks could hit the market.
IPO mania could make SPCX shares double in short order but I wouldn’t chase it. Maybe buy one share just for fun. For the first year it’s probably going to be a SpaceX casino.
There’s a number of smaller ancillary companies that supply and partner with SpaceX. Those are worth looking at.