Earlier this year I said based on voter registration shifts, J.D. Vance would win 2028 with 320 EVs. Just today, Grok was asked about the 2028 election, and said “J.D. Vance would have 312 EVs.” I think that’s low. Depending on the D candidate, I think Vance will get as high as 340.
I think the 'RATs will ramp up the cheating. The Republican turnout needs to be enough in the swing states to offset the cheat. I think 340 could be possible with no cheating, but no way if the voting rolls and voting process is not cleaned up. Especially in the swing states.
On the positive side the Fulton County FBI raid may turn up prosecutable evidence which would put a real damper on the 'RAT games.
312 to 316 is probably the limit now. But that’s 58% of the EV’s. Landslide territory.