“Every Presidential election, the Democrats start out with half the Electoral Votes they need without having to lift a finger.”
It’s way more than half. And the GOP does too.
For this decade:
If the Democrat candidate wins every state that Democrats normally win, he/she/it will receive 226 electoral votes from California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine (3 EV out of 4), Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Nebraska (1 EV out of 5), New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia and Washington.
If the GOP candidate wins every state that Republicans normally win, he will receive 235 electoral votes from Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Florida, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine (1 EV out of 4), Missouri, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska (4 EV out of 5), North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, West Virginia and Wyoming.
I’m generously counting North Carolina as “automatic” for the GOP, BTW. It’s really a swing state that happens to do the right thing presidentially.
The swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin account for 77 EV at this time, and they are the states which currently determine the overall outcome.
The main reason to be giddy about the 2032 presidential election is that IF the population trends continue then Rat states like CA will lose EV and GOP states like TX and FL will gain them. The House of Representatives may not reflect that change as much as the hopium addicts wish, but the Electoral College will improve for the GOP and make it that much easier for Republicans to get to 270.
Unless Texas flips, in which case none of the above matters.
Yeah but Republicans still have to work in those states. The Democrats don’t have to spend a dime in their states to win.