Thanks for the thread!
Handy link, NOAA’s Probabilistic Precipitation Portal...
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/Prob_Precip/
To see what’s likely to hit your neck of the woods. Very specific.
If your locale doesn’t show up handily, zoom in on the area.
Latest map from Max Velocity...
https://x.com/MaxVelocityWX/status/2015049704522871064
I heartily recommend his X feed and YouTube channel.