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To: Sobieski at Kahlenberg Mtn.

Supreme Court Issues Big Immigration Ruling, Could Benefit Trump

https://conservativebrief.com/supreme-court-ruling-c-98171/

Excerpt:

The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that federal courts lack the authority to review visa revocations in cases involving sham marriages for immigration purposes, affirming that such decisions fall under the discretion of the Department of Homeland Security.

The unanimous ruling clarified that while courts may review initial visa denials, they do not have the authority to intervene after the Department of Homeland Security revokes an approved visa.

The decision highlights DHS’s broad authority in visa matters and could impact immigration enforcement, including President Trump’s plans to overhaul immigration policies and carry out mass deportations.

Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson, an appointee of President Joe Biden, wrote for the court and described the decision as “a quintessential grant of discretion” to the DHS.

“Congress did not impose specific criteria or conditions limiting this authority, nor did it prescribe how or when the Secretary must act. Context reinforces the discretionary nature of §1155,” the majority wrote, referring to the statute surrounding the revocation of approved visa petitions.

“Section 1155 is a quintessential grant of discretion: The Secretary ‘may’ revoke a previously approved visa petition ‘at any time’ for what the Secretary deems ‘good and sufficient cause,’” the 9-0 ruling said.


3,440 posted on 01/16/2026 8:42:17 AM PST by Sobieski at Kahlenberg Mtn. (All along the watchtower fortune favors the bold.)
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To: Sobieski at Kahlenberg Mtn.
(twitter and other sites were down...)


3,444 posted on 01/16/2026 9:48:01 AM PST by bitt (<IMG SRC=' 'WIDTH=500>)
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To: Sobieski at Kahlenberg Mtn.

China’s $1.2 Trillion Trade Surplus Is Absolutely Fake — And the Numbers Give It Away.

Let’s start with the basic contradiction.

The U.S. imposed 27.5%–47.5% tariffs on Chinese goods during the tariff war. As a result, China’s exports to the U.S. fell nearly 20% in 2025. That’s confirmed by China’s own customs data.

And yet, Beijing claims that overall exports still grew 5.4% and produced a record-breaking $1 trillion surplus.

That alone should raise eyebrows.
Then came the leaks.

After customs announced the “historic surplus,” Chinese media began reporting widespread export fraud across multiple provinces. Shell companies were created solely to purchase fake export data from customs brokers. These fake numbers were then used to claim local government export subsidies.

Even worse?
Local governments weren’t just tolerating this — they were encouraging it.
Why?

Because Beijing demanded that provinces “stabilize exports” at all costs. And when real exports slowed under tariffs, the only way to hit targets was to manufacture numbers.

In many regions, the incentives were explicit:
export $1 → get ¥0.03 in subsidies.

Export $100 million → collect ¥3 million.
No real goods required.

In August alone, Shenzhen uncovered a single fraud case involving ¥29 million in fake export rewards. And that was just one city.

This matters because fake exports don’t just pad statistics, they distort GDP, drain fiscal resources, and mislead policymakers.

But the biggest red flag came from the money itself.

According to basic economics, a $1.2 trillion trade surplus means $1.2 trillion in foreign currency flowing into China. That money should appear somewhere:
• Central bank reserves
• Commercial bank FX deposits
• Higher imports
• Rising overseas investment
• Inflationary pressure

Instead, China saw:
• Deflation
• Weak consumption
• Stagnant imports
• No surge in FX reserves

In fact, official central bank data shows that foreign currency deposits rose by only ~$200 billion — nowhere near $1.2 trillion.
So where did the money go?
The uncomfortable answer: it never existed.

This isn’t a new concern. Back in 2024, the U.S. Treasury publicly questioned the widening gap between China’s customs data and the figures reported by China’s own foreign exchange regulator. In 2023 alone, customs overstated the surplus by $230 billion — more than 1% of GDP.
Historically, that gap averaged just $7 billion.
That’s blatant fabrication, not merely a rounding error.

Put simply:
China’s real 2025 trade surplus was likely around $200 billion, not $1.2 trillion.
The rest was statistical theater.
Why does this matter?
Because when a government feels compelled to inflate numbers fivefold to maintain confidence, it signals not strength but stress.
And once trust in official data collapses, everything priced off that data collapses with it.

https://x.com/Ken_LoveTW/status/2011651831576084811


3,544 posted on 01/16/2026 8:42:47 PM PST by Sobieski at Kahlenberg Mtn. (All along the watchtower fortune favors the bold.)
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