The district is the Tennessee River Valley between Kentucky and Alabama, touching on the western and southwestern suburbs of Nashville. Nominally a red district but yellow dog democrat area in history.
The issue is Trump fatigue. Democrats are motivated to fight Trump and honestly many 2024 Trump voters are turned off by his bombast. The election will be decided by turnout or lack of it by Trump voters.
Donald Trump has been in office since February. How do you have “Trump Fatigue”? You want a nice guy who doesn’t get anything done (like W?) So people prefer a Karen/AWFUL/Cat Lady?