Posted on 12/02/2025 6:19:23 AM PST by cotton1706
If you live in this district, GO VOTE!
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Jim
Low turnout should favor the Republican. But if he underachieves as much in Robertson and Williamson as he is in Montgomery — he’s toast.
Nashville will deliver 70%+ for the candidate who says she hates that place. Nashville hates Republicans more than Behn hates Nashville.
No votes from Nashville are in yet. Go figure.
About 41,000 votes with 25% of the precints.... about 164,000 votes in total...
33,000 with 20% precints is about 165,000 votes...
Hence our guy will need around 85,000 to 90,000 votes if this holds...
Is Montgomery red or blue?
Quite red. Ordinarily.
Over 70% for Green in 2024.
Based on counties which have reported, we are seeing about a 10-point swing to the left, approximately.
If that holds up overall, it’s going to be VERRRRRRY close.
If it gets worse than 10 points, turn out the lights.
In the Presidential election, in Montgomery, TN Trump won 58.3% of the vote to Vice President Kamala Harris’ 39.9%. A total of 47,785 voted locally for Trump, while 32,723 voted for Harris. That’s more support than Trump received locally in 2020, when he carried 55%. Statewide, Trump had even more support, at 65%.
Those look like comfortable numbers, but others think not
I'm worried about Davidson Country (Nashville). I'm showing 0% reported.
Any idea how Van Epps has done/is doing there this evening??
It is 0%. But maybe Robertson and Williamson (normally solid R) are being smart and holding back.
A lot depends on just HOW solid they are today. If they go squishy like Montgomery has (so far), we’ve got big trouble.
In Montgomery county with 49% reported,
Behn 9,741
Van Epps 9,182
“Those look like comfortable numbers, but others think not”
They are far from comfortable.
The “R+20” and “win easily” crowd always was full of shit as far as THIS election is concerned; it was always going to be very close.
They'll just blame "election fraud" like they always do.
Part of Nashville just dropped.
Boom.
If she beats 80% there, it’s going to be very bad.
41.7% expected votes in (Est. remaining 99,000)
Behn 37,518
Van Epps 32,402
This...the crazy woman kicked Republican ass in Nashville (self-loathing Tenneseeans strike again).
This is in Nashville or statewide?
If the rest of Nashville goes like the first half, Van Epps needs to WIN Montgomery (where he is losing) and put up solid margins in Williamson and Robertson.
Van Epps better be preparing his concession speech, if he hasn’t done so already.
On the bright side, Behn is likely to lose in 11 months; she’s the 2025 version of Mary Peltola (D-AK) who won a fluke special election in Alaska last term because of Republican stupidity. In a high-turnout general election, things *usually* return to normal.
Even if Behn ends up winning, it may be a good thing for our side because we'll realize that we have work to do for the upcoming Midterms.
And that the Trump Administration needs to pay more attention to domestic affairs.
It’s District-wide. The district is made up of 14 counties (or parts thereof).
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