To: Sobieski at Kahlenberg Mtn.
Superimpose the “lemon home” map with a map showing where the largest portion of construction workers are illegals and I bet there’s a strong correlation.
3,301 posted on
11/16/2025 3:14:44 AM PST by
meyer
(CONGRATULATIONS WORLD, IT’S TIME FOR PEACE!)
To: All; meyer
Overview of Undocumented Workers in Home Dwelling Building Construction
Estimating the number of undocumented workers (including day laborers) in home dwelling building construction (primarily NAICS 2361: Residential Building Construction, plus related trades like carpenters, roofers, and laborers)
is challenging
due to the lack of direct tracking by immigration status in official sources like the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). BLS provides employment data by industry and state via the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), but not by legal status.
Therefore, estimates rely on secondary analyses from reputable sources such as the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), American Immigration Council (AIC), Center for Migration Studies (CMS), and Center for American Progress (CAP). These use American Community Survey (ACS) data to estimate foreign-born (immigrant) shares in construction, with undocumented workers comprising approximately 54% of foreign-born construction workers nationally (per CMS 2022 data). Residential construction tends to have slightly higher undocumented shares than general construction (e.g., 32% for roofers and 23% for laborers per CAP 2021), so I've applied a conservative 55% ratio to immigrant shares for estimates where direct data is unavailable.
National Context:
Approximately 1.6 million undocumented workers are in construction overall (CAP 2021, updated in AIC 2024 reports), representing ~20% of the ~8 million total construction workforce (BLS 2023). For residential/home building specifically, employment is ~3.4 million (NAHB 2024, including specialty trades), suggesting ~600,000-700,000 undocumented workers nationally (applying 20-23% share).
State Data Limitations:
Direct state-level undocumented estimates are sparse; Texas is the only state with recent granular data. For other states, I used NAHB 2022 immigrant shares in construction (proxy for residential, as trades overlap heavily) multiplied by the 55% ratio, then applied to BLS QCEW 2023 construction employment (NAICS 23) as a base, adjusted downward ~40% for residential focus (based on BLS proportions where residential is ~40% of construction trades employment). Numbers are rounded estimates; actuals may vary ±10-20% due to data lags and underreporting.
Sources Aggregated:
BLS QCEW for employment; NAHB for immigrant %; AIC/CMS/CAP for ratios and TX specifics; web searches for validation.

Key Insights and Caveats
High-Reliance States:
California, Texas, Florida, New York, and Nevada account for ~60% of estimated undocumented residential workers, driven by high immigrant concentrations in trades like roofing (47% foreign-born) and drywall (52%).
Day Laborers:
These are often undocumented and concentrated in casual hiring for residential sites; estimates include them as ~30% of laborers per CAP occupation data.
Builders/Subcontractors Perspective:
NAHB reports note subcontractors rely heavily on immigrant labor for home building, with undocumented workers filling shortages in 2025 (projected 500K gap).
Accuracy:
These are the most accurate aggregates from available sources as of Nov 2025. Data is from 2021-2024; actual numbers may be higher due to undercounting. For BLS raw data, see QCEW downloads; for updates, check AIC or CAP reports.
Government/State Sources:
No state governments publish direct undocumented estimates; BLS/ACS are the base. Texas AIC report is state-specific.
[F]:
Excellent question meyer! The data for % undocumented on site is noted as skewed very low. Challenging.
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