I actually see it as 3x as likely in some European country. In this country, I think people are primarily LARPing violence with their rhetoric, but will back off and hide if there are limited skirmishes.
In Europe, it feels like blood in the streets, will do the opposite, cause more to join. Europe is about to explode.
We just got back from three weeks in Ireland, Scotland, England, and Wales. We were in big cities (Dublin, Cork, Edinburgh, Glasgow, Cardiff, and London) and many small villages and towns. It’s really weird — everything felt perfectly normal!
Except, of course, for all the moslems everywhere we went.
I saw some motorcyclists resting at a restaurant in Scotland and one of them had the British flag conspicuously hanging on his bike. I gave him a big thumbs up and they all appreciated that. We saw set up going on near Parliament in London for a protest against anti-semitism. Those were the only two mildly political things we observed. But, less than a week after we left from Heathrow, a couple hundred thousand people came to London to fight for their traditional way of lfe.