According to a 2020 Pew Research Center survey:
A 2022 Gallup poll provides further nuance:
| Action | Description | Severity | Likelihood | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Private Admonition | The Pope or a designated bishop privately urges the individual to reconsider their stance and align with Church teaching. | Low | High | The Church prefers discreet correction to avoid scandal and encourage repentance (Canon 1341). This is common for public figures to maintain dialogue. |
| Public Statement or Clarification | The Pope issues a general statement reaffirming Church teaching on abortion without naming the individual, indirectly addressing their stance. | Low | High | Popes often clarify doctrine publicly (e.g., Pope Francis’ 2018 comments on abortion as a grave sin) to guide the faithful without targeting individuals. |
| Denial of Communion | A bishop or priest, under papal guidance, denies the individual Holy Communion due to “obstinate persistence in manifest grave sin” (Canon 915). | Moderate | Moderate | Applied to public figures like politicians (e.g., Nancy Pelosi in some dioceses), but inconsistent across bishops and rarely directed by the Pope himself. |
| Formal Canonical Warning | A formal admonition under canon law, warning the individual to retract their position or face further consequences. | Moderate | Low | Canon 1347 allows warnings before penalties, but this is rare for laypeople and more common for clergy or theologians. |
| Interdict | The individual is barred from participating in certain sacraments (e.g., Eucharist, Confession) until they repent (Canon 1332). | High | Very Low | Interdict is a severe penalty, rarely applied to laypeople, and typically reserved for extreme cases of public dissent or scandal. |
| Excommunication (Latae Sententiae) | Automatic excommunication for procuring or directly assisting in an abortion (Canon 1398), though advocacy alone may not trigger it unless deemed “heresy” or “schism” (Canon 1364). | Very High | Extremely Low | Advocacy for abortion doesn’t automatically incur excommunication, and the Pope is unlikely to apply it to a layperson absent extreme public defiance. |
| Excommunication (Ferendae Sententiae) | Formal excommunication declared by the Pope or a bishop for persistent, public rejection of Church teaching (Canon 1364). | Extreme | Nearly Unprecedented | Extremely rare for laypeople; historically reserved for severe cases like schism or heresy (e.g., excommunication of Martin Luther). |
Excellent breakdown, thankQ.