You can’t have a 3rd party be successful when its primary selling point is that it’s not the other two main parties.
Look at Libertarians, the always have this delusional belief they are so popular and powerful. It is not true in the least, as is demonstrated the positions they are not elected to fill.
Elon doesn’t even have a platform to form another 3rd party on. He’s delusional too.
He let his support for helping with the election go to his head.
America is just too big for a multi party system (geographically). It’s peculiar but I don’t see it changing