Russia gained 0.5% of Ukraine territory in 2024 and that advance is slowing. Russia now controlled about 20%, the same as in 2022.
At this rate, they will reach Kiev no sooner than 2156.
AI Overview
By early 2025, Russia controlled roughly 20% of Ukraine’s territory. While Russia gained some territory in 2024, particularly in the east and south, their advances slowed and they faced strong resistance. Russia also failed to reclaim territory in the Kursk region of Russia that had been seized by Ukraine.
Here’s a more detailed breakdown:
Total occupied territory:
Around 20% of Ukraine’s territory is under Russian control.
Territorial gains in 2024:
Russia gained approximately 4,168 square kilometers (1,609 square miles) of Ukrainian territory in 2024, according to the Institute for the Study of War.
Changes in control:
While Russia gained some territory, it also faced setbacks, including losing ground in the Kursk region.
Slowed advance:
By early 2025, Russian territorial gains had significantly slowed down, with ground forces averaging only a few square kilometers of new territory per day.
Russia has gained essentially no territory in three years.
Time to admit Russia is bogged down and no longer can afford paying for this two week war.
Losing Iran’s support another major blow.