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Ex-NATO Commander Predicts Trump Will Strike Iran: ‘2 in 3 Chance’
Mediaite ^ | June 19, 2025 | Isaac Schorr

Posted on 06/19/2025 9:58:35 AM PDT by Miami Rebel

Retired U.S. Admiral and former NATO Supreme Allied Commander James Stavridis predicted that President Donald Trump would order a military strike on Iran in the coming days during an appearance on CNN Thursday morning.

After beings asked about the “factors” that might be “going into the president’s thinking” as he mulls his options, Stavridis weighed in.

“I think all presidents begin with pros and cons. The pro is pretty obvious here. U.S. has the ability, using these big, bunker-busting bombs we’re talking about constantly, in all probability to take out definitively the beating heart of the Iranian nuclear program at Fordow. That’s a big pro. The con, the risk is tactical. Could a B-2 bomber get shot down? Could a fighter get taken out while escorting? Could the Iranians lash out at U.S. bases, U.S. partners in the region, go after oil fields? Could they close the Strait of Hormuz? There’s a lot of cons here,” he answered. “I think it’s a close call for the president. At this point, Pamela, I would say there’s a two in three chance he will go ahead and strike. I think there is a one in three chance he’ll give it a bit more time and see how diplomacy plays out. You can make a case on either side of that decision.”

Anchor Pamela Brown followed up by asking him why he believes there’s a a two in three chance Trump “would go for it.”

“One is the way we have aggressively set the table. All the forces are in place and operations like that tend to create a momentum of their own. Secondly, widely reported a lot of advice he’s receiving from people he really trusts in national security like Senator Lindsey Graham, Senator Tom Cotton, General Erik Kurilla, I think there’s a growing body of advice to him To conduct the strike,” replied Stavridis. “And third and finally, he looks at it through the prism of domestic politics, here again, pro and con. Many of his supporters are against getting involved in the Middle East, but I think he may make the calculation a quick, certain strike will in fact be well received. It’ll be a sign of strength. So I think those are the three reasons it’s a two in three chance that he decides ultimately to take the shot.”


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: iran; isaacschorr; jamesstavridis; lol; mediaite; nevertrumping
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To: Miami Rebel

“All the forces are in place and operations like that tend to create a momentum of their own. “

Not with Trump, I don’t think He seems hyper wary of putting American lives on the line. He’s a president who’s gonna need a reason.


21 posted on 06/19/2025 11:31:19 AM PDT by TalBlack (Their god is government. Prepare for a religious war.https://freerepublic.com/perl/post?id=4322961%2)
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To: Miami Rebel

My dog could have predicted that.


22 posted on 06/19/2025 11:40:28 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (TDS much?)
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To: omni-scientist

Correct, the current govt looks to be collapsing, those in the top circle are either dead or out of the country.

The new govt will make a deal with Trump right away.


23 posted on 06/19/2025 11:41:26 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (The road is a dangerous place man, you can die out here...or worse. -Johnny Paycheck, 1980, Reno, NV)
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To: alancarp

Why step in?

Our little brother is kicking the sh*t out of the local bully. We just need to stand behind him and send him whatever he needs to finish the job.


24 posted on 06/19/2025 12:13:41 PM PDT by T. Rustin Noone
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To: T. Rustin Noone
"We just need to stand behind him and send him whatever he needs to finish the job."

In this case, it appears that what they need is that massive bunker buster bomb. Otherwise, I concur: they're doing a bang-up job on their own.

25 posted on 06/19/2025 12:29:55 PM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: Miami Rebel

Are there B-2 trained Israeli AF bomber pilots available?


26 posted on 06/19/2025 12:56:30 PM PDT by mowowie
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To: newfreep

GOOD RIDDANCE TO 2 PROBLEMS


27 posted on 06/19/2025 1:12:11 PM PDT by ridesthemiles (not giving up on TRUMP---EVER)
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