[EnderWiggin1970]

Something here doesn’t add up. The Israelis do a consistently superb job of mission planning and execution including being prepared for contingencies. It just doesn’t make sense to me that they would launch this war to neutralize Iran’s nuclear threat and try to clear the path for regime change, without having a solid plan for Fordow. Which suggests to me that they do have a plan and I’m just lacking their intel. The idea that they’d just make this part up as they went along, hoping for the US to step in at the appropriate time but without solid assurances, seems unlike them.

[Zhang Fei]

[Something here doesn’t add up. The Israelis do a consistently superb job of mission planning and execution including being prepared for contingencies. It just doesn’t make sense to me that they would launch this war to neutralize Iran’s nuclear threat and try to clear the path for regime change, without having a solid plan for Fordow. Which suggests to me that they do have a plan and I’m just lacking their intel. The idea that they’d just make this part up as they went along, hoping for the US to step in at the appropriate time but without solid assurances, seems unlike them.]

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This is poll-driven. Israel is clearing a space for Trump so he can retaliate for Iran’s failed assassination attempt and personally put the kibosh on its nuclear program. With control of Iran’s airspace, Israel’s air force is now comparable to tunnel builders or miners. Smaller bombs will cumulatively do the trick. But that wouldn’t give Trump the opportunity to take credit, which could be helpful for the midterms.

Americans worry about US casualties from occupation, not air strikes that kill the enemy. Going into elections with Iran’s nuclear program reduced to grains of desert sand will be a real feather in his cap.