Curious what actual profits Russia is making off its petro exports. 45 a barrel with increased shipping costs and production costs leaves little room for much profits.
Additionally, military exports was Russias 2nd biggest source of revenue, and that appears to not only have gone away, but been replaced by the need to import military goods.
Lastly the remaining stockpiles of Soviet legacy equipment are drying up, which means more and more of Russian industrial capacity must switch to supporting military operations.
The difficult part is determining specifics. Russia has a fair ability to produce military goods. They can shift nearly all export revenue to obtaining the things they cannot make themselves.
The Russians have serious control over their media and thus have the capability to absorb more suffering.
So many intangibles, so difficult to measure.
Among tangibles, compare Russia’s national debt, and GDP current and projected, to that of the US
And the historical psyche of respective populations to deal with hard times