As you note, there’s a bunch of stuff there that ain’t really likely to happen. The Turks always are looking for an excuse to beat up on the Kurds, to the East, but the Kurds would be waiting for them.
Erdogan hasn’t repaired the mess that earthquake made on the Syrian border awhile back. If he tries to mount an attack while marching thru that rubble I would expect his own people to fix his wagon.
Then, the notion that the Gleeks might help the Turks invade Syria is not workable. They are still pretty sore over that whole Cyprus thing and there certainly wouldn’t be anything in that for them.——Not even an oil pipeline?

True... but see my #3314 previous. Presently conditions can change almost instantaneously - note the sudden appearance of these drones for example.
Perilous times!