We're going to know early on what the night is going to look like when the 100% returns come in from the smaller Eastern Time Zone districts. They're going to bounce these numbers against 2020 and 2016 to look at percentages. If Trump is crushing his earlier percentages, especially in bellwether districts, --and this is a consistent trend, it's going to be a lot harder to come up with a steal that's plausible.
And if turnout is down in Philly, Detriot and Milwalkee.