These numbers are not of any value. IIRC, the betting markets were at 90%+ for Hillary in 2016 on Election Day.
Yes, they even paid out bets on Hillary before Election Day.
“These numbers are not of any value. IIRC, the betting markets were at 90%+ for Hillary in 2016 on Election Day.”
Fair enough, but Commie-La ‘24 doesn’t exactly remind me of Trump ‘16. Back then, Trump was consistently 7-10 points behind Hillary in pretty much every poll, across the board. It’s a very brave contrarian gambler who’ll put up real money in the face of that. And yet many of us knew that there was real enthusiasm for Trump that wasn’t necessarily going to be reflected in polls. Are there legions of secretly enthused Kamala voters waiting in the wings to sweep her to victory? I doubt it. If she wins, it’ll be because they found enough phony ballots at 2:00 am after election day.
True, however...
No one - anywhere - predicted Trump would win Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, in 2016.
a lot of gambling money was lost back then
While we all hoped, did anyone seriously believe Trump would win in 2016?
Most everyone I know and knew didn’t.
I’d probably have put money on cankles too.