[Political Junkie Too]

As the polling stands now, we're on track to pick up two seats for the majority: Montana and West Virginia.

My poll-tracking model has the following remaining contested races:

State	R Candidate	Poll Avg	Win Prob	D Candidate	Poll Avg	Win Prob
Arizona	Kari Lake	43.51%	9.41%	Ruben Gallego	48.94%	90.51%
Florida	Rick Scott	47.77%	81.03%	Debbie Mucarsel-Powell	44.27%	18.97%
Maryland	Larry Hogan	39.76%	0.89%	Angela Alsobrooks	51.77%	99.11%
Michigan	Mike Rogers	43.41%	12.28%	Elissa Slotkin	47.76%	87.72%
Nevada	Sam Brown	39.81%	0.04%	Jacky Rosen	49.61%	99.96%
Ohio	Bernie Moreno	46.57%	47.83%	Sherrod Brown	46.77%	52.17%
Pennsylvania	David McCormick	43.20%	17.12%	Bob Casey, Jr./td>	47.69%	82.88%
Texas	Ted Cruz	48.32%	94.30%	Colin Allred	43.21%	5.70%
Virginia	Hung Cao	41.02%	0.26%	Tim Kaine	50.70%	99.74%
Wisconsin	Eric Hovde	46.28%	10.68%	Tammy Baldwin	50.19%	89.32%

-PJ

[God luvs America]

Disappointing to see Cao down so much.

Besides Montana and WV, i do thing Ohio is a real good possibility.

[spacejunkie2001]

what’s going on with Lake, in particular? why can’t she gain traction?