You just may be right.
But you're surely bucking the "narrative."
From what I see, the narrative is just another word for "That's my story, and I'm sticking to it!"
Just remember, "trust the science" except when it's not the truth, which may be a frequently occurring phenomenon.
I think I need to point out that what you quoted was what I quoted from Thud’s comment. My own comment about a southern route is after that. Did you mean to reply to Thud or me?