Yes but do they factor in democrat 3:30 am vote dumps in the swing states?
It’s not clear why there are these perpetual comments in response to polls that ask about Democrat fake votes not being in the polls.
What exactly is the point of that? What is that going to change? And why do polling threads attract this stuff? Why not spam that into every single FR thread?
That guy who posts about Civil War battles. Why not post this stuff about vote fraud on those threads? It’s just as relevant. Or the posts about Catholic this or that. Post about vote fraud there.
As for this particular polling . . . if turnout models are not reasonable leftward then they may not be reasonable rightward. You can’t, for example, decide black turnout will be 3% and sample accordingly. That’s just not reasonable.
As for state of the electorate, the single most likely error in the turnout models is their undersampling of independents, who are probably more than 40% of the total. It has changed hugely from the 2020 Census that drives turnout models for most pollsters.
WE ALL MUST VOTE, I am ashamed to say that for the first time in my life I DID NOT VOTE in 2022, I was BEYOND disgusted, felt completely defeated after the steal of 2020! This election WE MUST make this so HUGE they can’t possibly steal it!! WE MUST prove numbers SO BIG that the American public KNOWS that these bastards are NO WHERE NEAR the numbers they want us to believe the country has become this evil!! WE MUST make the nation SEE in HUGE NUMBERS that America is STILL American Patriots NOT a bunch of idiots wearing pink pussy hats or Antifa terrorists which actually are one in the same with different hats on with masks!!
I will never forget how Trump was winning and then after midnight, boom! He was suddenly losing.