anyone who believes Harris swung PA by 8-10 points is just a special kind of stupid.... period.
As already noted, this is a Trump improvement vs that Turnout Model by 1% in a week.
Other Turnout Models (from other pollsters) has him in the lead.
We cannot know whose model is accurate, but we can tell if the needle moves by watching measurements using the same model. In this case, a good week for Trump.