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Vanity Place your bets ladies and germs...when does he drop out of the race?
07/18/2024 | My favorite person

Posted on 07/18/2024 9:32:54 AM PDT by Az Joe

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To: z3n

I forgot to give my prognostication.

I think Joe will try to hold out for a week or so. He is probably telling them something to the effect of, let’s see where the polls are after the recent events (assassination attempt and RNC convention) have a chance to ware off.

If his numbers don’t come back up more than a few points by Friday July 26, he will resign that weekend.


81 posted on 07/18/2024 10:40:41 AM PDT by z3n (Kakistocracy)
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To: Az Joe

WHEN HE TURTLES FOR GOOD.


82 posted on 07/18/2024 10:41:14 AM PDT by ridesthemiles (not giving up on TRUMP---EVER)
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To: Az Joe
What does 'drop out' look like?

Will he simply suspend his run for re-election and have the (Ds) pick an alternate?

Will he resign the presidency and have Harris step in as the POTUS and candidate?

Will both Biden and Harris be bypassed in the nomination process?

If he resigns the POTUS job and Harris takes over, what is the process to put a new VEEP in place? Procedure and time required?

Interesting times.....

83 posted on 07/18/2024 10:41:27 AM PDT by eeriegeno (Checks and balances??? What checks and balances?)
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To: Az Joe

Are you maintaining a spreadsheet? This is actually a pretty good game.


84 posted on 07/18/2024 10:41:44 AM PDT by MayflowerMadam (It's not as if Biden has the nuclear codes or anything. 😳)
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To: packagingguy

There is actually 0% chance of either Biden or Heels up Harris winning, because neither can win Georgia and Pennsylvania, which are the only 2 pick ups Trump needs to win now in 2020 since the reapportionment of electors after the 2020 census.


85 posted on 07/18/2024 10:42:02 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: Maine Mariner

BINGO!


86 posted on 07/18/2024 10:42:42 AM PDT by frogjerk (More people have died trusting the government than not trusting the government.)
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To: napscoordinator
Kamala will energize the base. She’s dumb but so are democrats.

Agreed. Suddenly they're competitive again. The election will look more like 2016, if Kamala replaces Joe.

87 posted on 07/18/2024 10:42:50 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: escapefromboston

ON Tues-— ABC actually broke away from RNC coverage to show BIDEN ARRIVING AT ANDREWS & S L O W L Y getting off the plane.


88 posted on 07/18/2024 10:43:05 AM PDT by ridesthemiles (not giving up on TRUMP---EVER)
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To: z3n

Officially:

My bet is that sloe joe steps aside at the convention and they announce legs-up as their candidate.

At which point I hope DJT’s protection detail is run/staffed by former military.


89 posted on 07/18/2024 10:44:58 AM PDT by logi_cal869 (-cynicus the "concern troll" a/o 10/03/2018 /!i!! &@$%&*(@ -)
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To: redfreedom

HOW much scrambling is happening behind the walls at WH to get pardons for ENTIRE BIDEN FAMILY CORRUPTION BUSINESSES BEFORE he gives up???


90 posted on 07/18/2024 10:45:30 AM PDT by ridesthemiles (not giving up on TRUMP---EVER)
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To: RoosterRedux

Notice that just days after an attempted assassination nobody on this thread seems to think the Deep State will do it again...to Joe Biden this time.

The denial runs deep.

Biden is a stubborn senile guy. He has all the delegates.
He is not going down the easy way.


91 posted on 07/18/2024 10:46:31 AM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: Az Joe

That’s a tough one to guess. Right now the SCENARIO ANALYSTS at DNC are working overtime to come up with the perfect plan that maximizes their advantages to win in November.

As of today the analysts have been working on this problem for three weeks since the debate. I give them one more week, so THURSDAY, JULY 25, 2024 is my guess.


92 posted on 07/18/2024 10:50:34 AM PDT by Presbyterian Reporter
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To: Az Joe

After the unexpected phone call from Hillary.
“Joe, Bill and I heard you have COVID. Be a shame if you have to go on a ventilator.”


93 posted on 07/18/2024 10:51:33 AM PDT by Deo volente ("When we see the image of a baby in the womb, we glimpse the majesty of God's creation." Pres. Trump)
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To: Az Joe; All
Due to his recent bout with Covid, they’re gonna put him on a ventilator and let him expire.

Cause of death: COVID-19.

94 posted on 07/18/2024 10:52:26 AM PDT by Cobra64 (Common sense isn’t common anymore.)
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To: Candor7

“””Biden will not drop out.”””


The Democrat Political Machine is now very worried that the Democrat Rank and File Voter will not even go the to polls if Biden stays in.

Too many Dem Rank and File Voters do not want to be harassed by their friends who would say: “You mean to tell me that you actually voted for such a senile man?”


95 posted on 07/18/2024 10:56:41 AM PDT by Presbyterian Reporter
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To: Presbyterian Reporter

the perfect plan that maximizes their advantages to win in November.


https://www.newsweek.com/five-step-plan-replacing-biden-winning-saving-america-opinion-1921694

Step One: Appoint Barack Obama temporary chairman of the Democratic National Committee and replacement chairman of the Democratic National Convention. This might be the most important step. Obama is the only figure among Democrats with the credibility to unify the party from the start around a replacement process—and the party needs it. Democrats would truly believe that his only objective would be to select the candidate best able to defeat Trump. That level of trust is essential because of the elephant in the room: the very real prospect that Democrats would select someone other than Vice President Kamala Harris. No one but Obama could quell that blowback, or indeed the hurt feelings of any faction that doesn’t get their preferred candidate

Step Two: Obama announces that all Democrats must observe the political 11th Commandment for the remainder of 2024. Ronald Reagan’s version was “Thou shalt not speak ill of another Republican.” For Democrats, the race to succeed Biden must be a positive-case-only affair for each contender. The rule would have to be enforced, in public by party elders via harsh pushback, and in private with an edict that any Democratic consultants who created negative ads about fellow Democrats would be shut out from future business with the Democratic Party.

Step Three: Create mini-conventions. The ideal would be for each state to hold a nominating convention attended by state party members, who would vote on their selection (there is not enough time for a set of flash primaries, as some have suggested). The vote would be non-binding, but it would confer much greater legitimacy on the eventual national convention selection by demonstrating grassroots party support. It would mitigate the perception that a choice was merely a backroom deal from party elites. But since the calendar is an obstacle, a second option would be to hold regional nominating conventions, probably five of them for state party members from the Southwest, Pacific Coast, Midwest, Northeast, and Southeast. Candidates would speak, state delegations would vote, and a signal would be sent to national convention delegates. Does that sound messy? Absolutely. But that’s a feature, not a bug, because...

Step Four: Bring the cameras. Jeffrey Katzenberg is one of the greatest producers in Hollywood history. He’s essentially already producing the Biden campaign. So have him produce the runup to the convention. Five or 10 candidates vying to be the nominee, rushing around to mini conventions, hustling and angling and even stumbling, with the threat of the end of democracy or winning the most powerful position on Earth in the balance. Do you think there would be audience demand for the greatest pop-up reality TV show ever conceived? So, lean into the mess, and leverage the promotional bonanza. In addition to the usual media fare of debates, town halls, and interviews, bring cameras inside to film docu-dramas, reality shows, and social media videos. Embed influencers for a six-week wild ride. Suck up every ounce of media oxygen and solve your nominee’s name recognition problem in one fell swoop.

Step Five: Use all the dollars. Biden would convert his campaign committee to a political action committee and run independent expenditure ads. It is not a problem, as some have suggested, that this entity could not coordinate with the campaign of the new nominee. Is there any doubt about the message when the opponent is a convicted felon who fomented an insurrection? Nor is it a problem that the Biden dollars wouldn’t stretch as far with higher ad rates for independent entities. The new nominee would immediately be flush with his or her own campaign funds from the entire Democratic donor base (there’s $100 million already waiting). Added together, the Democratic Party’s total budget would overflow within weeks. Not to mention that while the nominee runs traditional ads, the Biden PAC can invest more in creative nontraditional media, resulting in an unprecedented and more effective 1-2 punch in the fight against Trump.

Are there different right answers? Of course. The point is that there are plans available. There are answers available. There are ways to come out of the next seven weeks with a unified Democratic Party, a windfall of free media coverage, a geyser of fundraising, and an unparalleled communications strategy that would put Democrats in the best possible position to win and save America.


96 posted on 07/18/2024 10:57:02 AM PDT by PeterPrinciple (Thinking Caps are no longer being issued but there must be a warehouse full of them somewhere.)
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To: Az Joe
"when does he drop out of the race?

He drops out when it its too late for the public to properly vet the replacement candidate. If comrade dictator Joe resigns from office does that make Mike Johnson a heart beat away from the Presidency?


97 posted on 07/18/2024 10:57:42 AM PDT by clearcarbon (Fraudulent elections have consequences.)
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To: texas booster

OK. Unrelated question. I’ve tried to figure out numerous times how to post a chat/discussion question without linking to a URL. How is it done? What magic must I invoke?


98 posted on 07/18/2024 10:59:34 AM PDT by sevinufnine
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To: Political Junkie Too

“Democrat party insiders want to nominate Biden sooner because they can then force Biden out and take advantage of DNC rules to replace the duly nominated candidate with a candidate of the DNC leadership’s choice.”

Good post. I did not know that. My streak of learning something new each day is alive. Thanks.


99 posted on 07/18/2024 11:00:47 AM PDT by bosco24
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To: PeterPrinciple

Did you just come up with that plan from the top of your head or have you been thinking about this for a while? However, you came up with such a plan is very good.


100 posted on 07/18/2024 11:03:23 AM PDT by Presbyterian Reporter
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