https://advisors.vanguard.com/insights/article/series/market-perspectives#projected-returns
Vanguard Market projections for the next 10 years.
This was published May 15. 2024
Vanguard is the largest mutual fund company in the world. They MAY know something about this subject.
The Vanguard Investment Strategy Group is a respectable one, but there are dozens upon dozens of economists making predictions every day of the year.
The fact that this team gets paid by Vanguard doesn’t give them any special insights or clout. Mericle at Goldman is pretty good, as is Sajjid Chinoy at JP Morgan.