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To: absalom01

It largely missed the earth.

Someday, a Carrington-class flare will again hit earth.


22 posted on 05/16/2024 6:42:02 PM PDT by citizen (Put all LBQTwhatever programming on a new subscription service: PERV-TThose look good)
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To: citizen
Someday, a Carrington-class flare will again hit earth.

Of that I have no doubt. The question is, and I have no idea what the answer might be, is would a massive CME like that actually be capable of a large and uncontrolled grid-down scenario. Back in the late 90's and early 00's when this was a hot topic among the "prepared", (or those trying to be) the thinking seemed to largely analogize an EMP event. Which would come out of the blue, without giving a grid operator or anyone else any time to take any measures. We would know that a CME was coming. Sure, communications satelites, GPS, basically anything in orbit could be knocked out, but the CME would take at least a couple of days to get to Earth. And if it did, would it be able to overwhelm a modern power transmission system?

Hoover dam, for example, is has a design rating of 2,000 megawatts, if memory serves, and the transmission lines from there to Los Angeles operate (again from memory) at around 3000 Kv. That's a far cry from a 6 volt 24 amp telegraph line.

I have no idea of the answers, just kinda curious about what the real impact might be.

The only thing that I could find on line says that a big CME could induce ~10Kv, coming as short-duration pulses, which doesn't seem like something that would endanger a major transmission line. So, local effects maybe? Dunno, just kinda curious.

23 posted on 05/17/2024 8:18:59 AM PDT by absalom01 (You should do your duty in all things. You cannot do more, and you should never wish to do less.)
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