As an MD resident, I’d say Hogan has about a 10% chance of winning, mostly based on his popularity as governor after several totally inept democrat administrations. Don’t underestimate the amount of black bigotry, white guilt and useful idiots in the peoples democratic state of maryland.
“As an MD resident, I’d say Hogan has about a 10% chance of winning, mostly based on his popularity as governor after several totally inept democrat administrations. Don’t underestimate the amount of black bigotry, white guilt and useful idiots in the peoples democratic state of maryland.”
Bingo. If there was ever a (supposedly) contested seat that the commies cannot afford to lose, it’s this one. They will take no chances.
Hogan’s popularity as an impotent figurehead Governor (the veto-proof legislature controlled everything, and Hogan agreed with 90% of it anyway) is absolutely irrelevant now, but wishful-thinkers will fall back on that as if it has any meaning.
He’ll do better than the hopeless GOP sacrificial lambs (Chaffee, Cox) did in statewide elections in Maryland in 2022, but probably not significantly better. If he loses by less than 10-15 points he’ll have done quite well indeed, all things considered.