Well, the Russians have FPV drones too, but you usually don’t hear about those successes on Western TV. I watch the Military Summary Channel and Alex Mercorius, who is fair but certainly likes to see the Ukrainians lose. Russia is now on a military foothold and military production has increased incredibly. Plus, they have ties to N Korea for shells. On the other hand, Ukraine has a shortage of shells and wants shells quantities that nobody can provide. It needs men, trained men (not conscripted men from press gangs), it needs an air force, it needs more missiles, it needs more money, and most importantly it needs a plan. Everybody was too confident at the beginning that the Russian would lose and roll over. Ukraine had a chance for peace at the Istanbul talks, but Boris Johnson convinced them to go to war with Russia. And the sad thing is, Zelinsky is now like a delusional person, not realizing the mess he is in. He’s almost like Hitler in the final day: nationalization of the country with women and children on the front lines, belief in a super weapon that will win the war (Germans believe in the V2 rocket and Ukrainians believe in the F16 jets), no compromise or talks with the enemy, the Arian SS purity as you now see with the AZOV brigade; and I could go on with these parallels. But it all results in the massive death of your country men.
The Russian have not started their offensive but have waged a war of attrition on the Ukrainians, a meat grinder tactic. I think they are preparing for their offensive that will come sometime between May and August (Zelinski will legally not have power after May 29th because there were no elections). Now there are missiles and bombing attacks of train stations, airplane runways, power plants, etc., in the interior. That will soften the Ukrainians up. As well, more Russian soldiers have now reached the front lines and that is a sign of things to come. The Ukrainians have no plan but to die or pull back. And from what you hear from Russia government, more Ukrainians are dying than ever before. There has even been a Ukrainian brigade surrendering because they were told not to retreat and that meant certain death.
So we can believe what we want, but I think Ukraine is in a Hellhole. I think their army will snap, and it may come pretty soon.
Putin is simply gambling that he can wear down the Ukrainians faster than he can wear down his own forces. He wishes to seize the remaining parts of Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts (possible), and Kharkov and the rest of Kherson extending into Odessa (very unlikely) before trying to reach some negotiated peace that will give a respite until he can attack again, unless Ukraine gets into NATO.
My guess is it will drag on until the next President takes office. If, by the grace of God, that President is Trump, he will offer Putin a deal he will find difficult to swallow: either Donbas or Crimea, but not both, or withdrawal to the February 2022 lines. Then we'll see.