No, I don't expect Russia and China to surrender. I DO expect them to become unable to further pursue their current militarist policies.
You speak about winning all the battles but losing the war. Just who do you think we will lose to when our global adversaries are shriveled husks of their former selves?
Again, I do not like our policy in Ukraine. I am about as far from being a NEOCON as you will meet. I do think that we are making the best of a bad situation.
We are wearing down an international rival, Russia, not Putin, on the cheap and without losing American lives. We get to replace our old armaments, again on the cheap. Foreign military sales are booming as other nations see just how well our old stuff works and want the new stuff which works even better.
Most of the "aid money" to Ukraine is spent in the US providing jobs for US workers. I would prefer that ALL the money was spent in the US doing things like sealing the southern border and deporting ALL the illegals.
If you think Russia and China integrating their capabilities will allow China to take Taiwan, think again.
China attacking Taiwan would be the biggest combination, "Hey y'all, watch this!" and "Hold my beer while I do ...." moment in world history.
China has seen just how badly the Russians have screwed up what should have been a two week walkover. They are now looking at attacking a better prepared, more determined adversary over a 97NM stretch of water. Really?
The international sanctions, public and private, that would be placed on China will make the sanctions on Russia look like a mild "Tsk, tsk."
Attacking Taiwan would be the CCP signing its own death warrant. The outcome would not be in doubt. I would only be a matter of time.
SpyNavy
Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)
LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)
Russia does not have militarist policies. It is merely defending the Donbass, of which the leaders begging Putin to protect them from the tyranny, war and death visited on them by the Ukraine government. We are not in the Cold War any more. Russia is not our adversary.
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I hope you are right; however, China fooled our intel experts before, such as Gordon Chang who wrote a book about their imminent collapse 23 years ago. In that case, according to Michael Pillsbury, this was a deliberate deception.
Of course President Trump often gives out hints that support your opinion...hinting of super weapons to be revealed only when necessary. So there is that.
Those swarms of hundreds of drones sent from Iran against Israel? If it were China, it could have been swarms of millions of drones, since they make millions of factory robots there. I expect surprises from both sides.
And I know you are aware of the threat of hypersonic missiles hurtling straight downward at our carriers and other forces at 15,000 mph. Maybe we have adequate defenses, but I have not found anything published that indicates this is the case. (Of course, under no circumstances should it be revealed until absolutely necessary.)