Incumbency is a tough nut to crack. Hogan is going for an open seat. Opportunity.
Yes. Why Brown in Ohio is pretty confident.
Yes it is, but its not impossible, particularly in nationalized elections.
The GOP should without question win the majority in the senate no matter what this fall.
Manchin retirement alone virtually guarantees this... and hart do see how OH won’t go GOP as well regardless of anything else.
I don’t expect it to just be 2 seat margin, but I’d say 52 is the absolute floor for the GOP this fall when it comes to the Senate.
With it being a presidential year, there definitely is a chance to gain some more, I think 54/55 is definitely possible assuming Trump does well.
If Biden keeps on the same downward trajectory he’s been on through the summer and into the fall, then it’s very possible that it can be more than that.
We’ll see how it goes, but I just don’t see any way the GOP doesn’t regain the Senate... there is just no math out there where they retain 50 or more seats.