The Five Forecasts:
1. In 2040, competition, both among states such as the United States and China and among big tech companies, will have led to corners being cut in the development of safe AI.
2. Quantum computing will have limited impact by 2040.
3. In 2040, there will be ownership of public web assets, and it will be identified and traded using technology such as tokenization.
4. In 2040, it will be more difficult to distinguish truth from fiction because widely accessible AI can mass-generate doubtful content. AI will be a threat to objective truth and verification.
5. In 2040, there will be less ability to distinguish accidents from criminal incidents due to the decentralized nature and complexity of systems.
All make sense except #3. What is that all about? Why is that important enough to be at #3. Are they suggesting that all of the web will be effectively nationalized?
Are they suggesting that all of the web will be effectively nationalized?
Does this come as a surprise?