“she will be the incumbent president running for election...”
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With a big tailwind of sympathy and support behind her. Its not at all hard to imagine her getting elected under such circumstances.
Yes, the tailwind of sympathy could happen.
Some say that the LBJ landslide of 1964 was due to that. The 1964 election being so soon after the Kennedy assassination, may well have caused many to vote for LBJ.
Remember that many people vote on emotion, and not based on any critical review of the policies and positions of a candidate.